Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Smith 47.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 60.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 70.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 62.4%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Steel
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Steel
Smith
Last 5: Steel 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Steel
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Steel
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Steel
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (638)
47.8% (178)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.3% (63)
0.0% (2)
+60.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
30.0% (10)
+12.4%
On power play, Steel has a +60.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Steel shoots left. Smith is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Steel
Smith
Home
47.3% (349)
46.5% (86)
Away
53.0% (385)
46.2% (104)
By Period
Steel
Smith
P1
51.2%
61.4%
P2
49.8%
39.4%
P3
50.0%
39.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Zack Smith |