Scouting Report
Samuel Helenius holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Helenius 47.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 57.3%
Defensive zone
Wagner 70.9%
Neutral zone
Helenius 54.4%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Wagner
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wagner
Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Wagner
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wagner
Helenius
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
46.7% (276)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
0.0% (1)
+51.6%
On penalty kill, Wagner has a +51.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Wagner shoots right. Helenius is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Wagner
Helenius
Home
46.3% (54)
43.5% (168)
Away
42.6% (54)
50.9% (110)
By Period
Wagner
Helenius
P1
48.6%
50.0%
P2
55.9%
41.5%
P3
30.8%
47.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.4%