Scouting Report
John Hayden holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Helenius on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayden 51.3% vs Helenius 47.4% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 69.2%
Defensive zone
Helenius 71.0%
Neutral zone
Helenius 65.9%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Hayden
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayden
Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
1
4
Hayden
Helenius
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayden
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (56)
46.7% (276)
+6.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Hayden has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Hayden is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Hayden shoots right. Helenius is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Hayden
Helenius
Home
45.0% (20)
43.5% (168)
Away
57.9% (38)
50.9% (110)
By Period
Hayden
Helenius
P1
62.5%
50.0%
P2
52.0%
41.5%
P3
47.1%
47.5%
Final 5 min
62.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayden
46.0%▲
39.4%
53.4%
Helenius
40.0%▼
45.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |