Scouting Report
Samuel Helenius holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Helenius 47.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helenius 50.1%
Defensive zone
Helenius 55.3%
Neutral zone
Kasper 52.5%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Kasper
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kasper
Helenius
Last 5: Kasper 4-1 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Helenius
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Helenius
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
1
Kasper
Helenius
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
46.7% (276)
-1.6%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
0.0% (1)
+52.2%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
0.0% (1)
+29.4%
On power play, Kasper has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Helenius is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Kasper
Helenius
Home
47.9% (280)
43.5% (168)
Away
42.5% (346)
50.9% (110)
By Period
Kasper
Helenius
P1
45.8%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
41.5%
P3
38.4%
47.5%
Final 5 min
40.3%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |