Scouting Report
Samuel Helenius holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Helenius on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helenius 47.4% vs Thompson 45.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Helenius 65.6%
Neutral zone
Helenius 55.7%
Result
Samuel Helenius favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Helenius
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Helenius
Thompson
Last 5: Helenius 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Helenius
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
2
1
Helenius
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
1
0
Helenius
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helenius
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (201)
44.9% (642)
+1.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
47.9% (94)
-47.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
33.3% (33)
-8.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Helenius is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Helenius shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Helenius
Thompson
Home
48.0% (98)
46.0% (391)
Away
44.4% (108)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Helenius
Thompson
P1
51.9%
48.1%
P2
37.9%
44.9%
P3
47.6%
41.2%
Final 5 min
36.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |