Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.6% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 80.9%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 82.4%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 61.2%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Kopitar
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Kopitar
Pahlsson
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
2
4
Kopitar
Pahlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
2
4
Kopitar
Pahlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
3
7
Kopitar
Pahlsson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (982)
54.3% (782)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.0% (235)
62.5% (16)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (176)
45.8% (216)
+2.5%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Kopitar shoots left. Pahlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Pahlsson
Home
52.1% (703)
51.8% (508)
Away
55.5% (715)
53.5% (518)
By Period
Kopitar
Pahlsson
P1
54.9%
52.8%
P2
56.3%
52.1%
P3
49.5%
53.0%
OT
65.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.8%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |