Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Backes wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 44.9% vs Pahlsson 51.9% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 94.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 72.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 80.0%
Result
David Backes favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Backes
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
16
(22 meetings)
6
16
Backes
Pahlsson
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
3
4
Backes
Pahlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
2
5
Backes
Pahlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
1
7
Backes
Pahlsson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (819)
51.8% (934)
-6.5%
Power Play
42.1% (190)
57.9% (19)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (111)
52.4% (332)
-11.9%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Backes shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Backes
Pahlsson
Home
42.9% (581)
56.5% (628)
Away
46.1% (557)
47.8% (670)
By Period
Backes
Pahlsson
P1
40.1%
55.9%
P2
47.3%
49.4%
P3
45.1%
50.8%
OT
57.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
40.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |