Scouting Report
Jarome Iginla holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 53.3% vs Pahlsson 51.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 88.9%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 85.3%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 53.8%
Result
Jarome Iginla favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Iginla
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Iginla
Pahlsson
Last 7: Iginla 6-1 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
4
0
Iginla
Pahlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
1
Iginla
Pahlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Iginla
2
0
Iginla
Pahlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (259)
51.8% (934)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.1% (147)
57.9% (19)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
52.4% (332)
-25.1%
On penalty kill, Pahlsson has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Iginla is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Iginla shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Iginla
Pahlsson
Home
61.1% (203)
56.5% (628)
Away
47.5% (217)
47.8% (670)
By Period
Iginla
Pahlsson
P1
57.6%
55.9%
P2
50.4%
49.4%
P3
56.2%
50.8%
OT
31.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |