Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 94.3%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 65.7%
Neutral zone
Arnott 62.5%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Arnott
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Arnott
Pahlsson
Last 10: Arnott 3-7 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
0
Arnott
Pahlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
7
Arnott
Pahlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
3
4
Arnott
Pahlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
54.3% (782)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
62.5% (16)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
45.8% (216)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Arnott is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Arnott shoots right. Pahlsson is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Arnott
Pahlsson
Home
53.1% (431)
51.8% (508)
Away
46.7% (338)
53.5% (518)
By Period
Arnott
Pahlsson
P1
46.9%
52.8%
P2
52.9%
52.1%
P3
50.4%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 27, 2011 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |