Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sharp wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sharp 48.3% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 94.5%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 92.1%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 55.7%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Sharp
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Sharp
Pahlsson
Last 8: Sharp 4-4 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
2
0
Sharp
Pahlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
1
4
Sharp
Pahlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sharp
1
0
Sharp
Pahlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sharp
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (239)
54.3% (782)
-6.6%
Power Play
52.2% (46)
62.5% (16)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
45.8% (216)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, Pahlsson has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Sharp is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Sharp shoots right. Pahlsson is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Sharp
Pahlsson
Home
53.6% (151)
51.8% (508)
Away
41.4% (140)
53.5% (518)
By Period
Sharp
Pahlsson
P1
46.9%
52.8%
P2
46.2%
52.1%
P3
48.4%
53.0%
OT
66.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
39.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
47.8%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |