Scouting Report
Ryan O'Marra holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. O'Marra wins 69.8% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Marra 52.1% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Marra 69.9%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 78.2%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 65.5%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
O'Marra
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
O'Marra
Pahlsson
Last 5: O'Marra 5-0 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
1
0
O'Marra
Pahlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Marra
2
0
O'Marra
Pahlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Marra
2
0
O'Marra
Pahlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Marra
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (60)
54.3% (782)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
45.8% (216)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Pahlsson has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. O'Marra is 69.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
O'Marra shoots right. Pahlsson is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
O'Marra
Pahlsson
Home
61.9% (42)
51.8% (508)
Away
43.5% (23)
53.5% (518)
By Period
O'Marra
Pahlsson
P1
54.5%
52.8%
P2
57.7%
52.1%
P3
52.9%
53.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Marra
50.0%▲
47.0%
55.4%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Marra |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Marra |