Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pahlsson wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pahlsson 52.2% vs Doan 48.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 76.1%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 96.6%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 71.9%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Pahlsson
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pahlsson
Doan
Last 5: Pahlsson 4-1 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
1
Pahlsson
Doan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
4
0
Pahlsson
Doan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pahlsson
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,716)
48.6% (451)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.0% (35)
46.3% (136)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (548)
50.0% (10)
-0.2%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (680).
Pahlsson shoots left. Doan is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Pahlsson
Doan
Home
54.4% (1,136)
48.4% (312)
Away
50.3% (1,188)
47.6% (286)
By Period
Pahlsson
Doan
P1
54.6%
42.8%
P2
50.7%
48.3%
P3
51.8%
53.0%
OT
44.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |