Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pahlsson wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pahlsson 51.9% vs Doan 47.5% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 74.8%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 96.5%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 74.5%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Pahlsson
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pahlsson
Doan
Last 5: Pahlsson 4-1 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
1
Pahlsson
Doan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
4
0
Pahlsson
Doan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pahlsson
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (934)
47.8% (115)
+4.0%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
42.9% (42)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (332)
0.0% (1)
+52.4%
On penalty kill, Pahlsson has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Pahlsson shoots left. Doan is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Pahlsson
Doan
Home
56.5% (628)
40.8% (76)
Away
47.8% (670)
50.6% (83)
By Period
Pahlsson
Doan
P1
55.9%
46.7%
P2
49.4%
43.1%
P3
50.8%
48.1%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
35.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 00:10 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |