Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Chmelevski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.9% vs Chmelevski 45.3% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 88.0%
Defensive zone
Eichel 69.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 72.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Eichel
Chmelevski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eichel
Chmelevski
Last 5: Eichel 4-1 Chmelevski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Chmelevski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Chmelevski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Chmelevski
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (317)
35.7% (70)
+10.7%
Power Play
59.6% (57)
66.7% (3)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
66.7% (6)
-6.7%
On even strength, Eichel has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chmelevski shoots right. Eichel is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Eichel shoots right. Chmelevski is 26.9% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Eichel
Chmelevski
Home
46.2% (169)
34.5% (29)
Away
50.5% (210)
42.0% (50)
By Period
Eichel
Chmelevski
P1
39.8%
33.3%
P2
49.6%
45.5%
P3
56.2%
36.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Chmelevski
38.0%▬
38.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Sasha Chmelevski |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |