Scouting Report
Scott Gomez holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 39.9% vs Gomez 48.2% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 71.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 70.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 72.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Stepan
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stepan
Gomez
Last 6: Stepan 1-5 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
1
Stepan
Gomez
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
1
Stepan
Gomez
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
3
Stepan
Gomez
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (630)
47.9% (900)
-9.3%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
50.2% (219)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
22.7% (22)
36.8% (57)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Gomez has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Stepan is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Stepan shoots right. Gomez is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Home / Away
Stepan
Gomez
Home
39.0% (364)
51.1% (611)
Away
38.0% (355)
44.9% (586)
By Period
Stepan
Gomez
P1
39.4%
50.8%
P2
40.6%
48.5%
P3
36.4%
44.7%
OT
12.5%
46.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |