Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backstrom wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 52.3% vs Gomez 48.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 70.4%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 74.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 69.5%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Backstrom
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Backstrom
Gomez
Last 7: Backstrom 6-1 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backstrom
Gomez
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
0
Backstrom
Gomez
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
0
Backstrom
Gomez
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (940)
47.9% (900)
+4.2%
Power Play
51.3% (267)
50.2% (219)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (83)
36.8% (57)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Backstrom is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Backstrom shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Gomez
Home
53.6% (638)
51.1% (611)
Away
51.4% (677)
44.9% (586)
By Period
Backstrom
Gomez
P1
54.8%
50.8%
P2
50.5%
48.5%
P3
52.0%
44.7%
OT
59.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.5%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |