Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.4%). Look for Gomez on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gomez wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stapleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gomez 48.2% vs Stapleton 48.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 53.8%
Defensive zone
Gomez 50.6%
Neutral zone
Gomez 51.1%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Gomez
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gomez
Stapleton
Last 9: Gomez 5-4 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gomez
Stapleton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
0
2
Gomez
Stapleton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
4
1
Gomez
Stapleton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gomez
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (900)
47.2% (214)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.2% (219)
75.0% (8)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
66.7% (3)
-29.9%
On penalty kill, Stapleton has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Gomez is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Gomez shoots left. Stapleton is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Gomez
Stapleton
Home
51.1% (611)
49.6% (115)
Away
44.9% (586)
47.3% (110)
By Period
Gomez
Stapleton
P1
50.8%
54.1%
P2
48.5%
46.3%
P3
44.7%
45.7%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Tim Stapleton |