Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Gomez wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gomez 47.0% vs Smith 52.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 79.4%
Defensive zone
Gomez 53.8%
Neutral zone
Gomez 61.0%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Gomez
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gomez
Smith
Last 7: Gomez 2-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Gomez
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Gomez
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gomez
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (452)
53.0% (1,048)
-8.3%
Power Play
58.6% (58)
57.4% (47)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
50.0% (196)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Gomez has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Gomez is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Gomez shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Gomez
Smith
Home
47.6% (252)
53.9% (629)
Away
45.2% (263)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Gomez
Smith
P1
45.1%
50.4%
P2
50.3%
51.8%
P3
43.4%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 09:40 | Neutral | Zack Smith |