Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 51.6% vs Nichol 57.8% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 67.9%
Defensive zone
Nichol 69.8%
Neutral zone
Jones 60.9%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Jones
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jones
Nichol
Last 7: Jones 3-4 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Jones
Nichol
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
2
Jones
Nichol
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
2
1
Jones
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (84)
58.6% (394)
-5.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
71.4% (7)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
61.5% (78)
+38.5%
On power play, Nichol has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Jones is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Jones shoots right. Nichol is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Jones
Nichol
Home
47.4% (19)
56.1% (246)
Away
55.2% (67)
62.8% (239)
By Period
Jones
Nichol
P1
45.0%
57.7%
P2
60.0%
58.1%
P3
52.8%
62.8%
Final 5 min
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
53.5%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |