Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.7% vs Nichol 57.8% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 73.7%
Defensive zone
Nichol 51.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 69.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
MacKenzie
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacKenzie
Nichol
Last 7: MacKenzie 2-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
4
MacKenzie
Nichol
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (384)
58.6% (394)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
71.4% (7)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (61)
61.5% (78)
-9.0%
On power play, Nichol has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. MacKenzie is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (150).
MacKenzie shoots left. Nichol is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Nichol
Home
51.7% (232)
56.1% (246)
Away
52.3% (241)
62.8% (239)
By Period
MacKenzie
Nichol
P1
47.9%
57.7%
P2
51.8%
58.1%
P3
55.4%
62.8%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2011 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 02:36 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |