Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Christensen wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 52.0% vs Nichol 56.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Nichol leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Christensen 77.2%
Defensive zone
Nichol 50.9%
Neutral zone
Christensen 61.0%
Result
Erik Christensen favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Christensen
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Christensen
Nichol
Last 10: Christensen 4-6 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Christensen
Nichol
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
2
Christensen
Nichol
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Christensen
Nichol
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (255)
58.0% (371)
-7.4%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
25.0% (4)
+32.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
57.3% (75)
+42.7%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Christensen is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Christensen shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Christensen
Nichol
Home
57.8% (173)
58.6% (215)
Away
45.7% (129)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Christensen
Nichol
P1
49.6%
56.1%
P2
54.2%
58.4%
P3
53.7%
57.8%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.6%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |