Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Chipchura wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chipchura 50.3% vs Nichol 58.2% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chipchura 62.3%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 62.7%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 60.8%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Chipchura
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Chipchura
Nichol
Last 8: Chipchura 3-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Chipchura
Nichol
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
2
Chipchura
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
3
2
Chipchura
Nichol
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chipchura
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (2,100)
59.0% (948)
-8.1%
Power Play
45.7% (46)
42.9% (14)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (171)
59.5% (185)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Chipchura is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (769).
Chipchura shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Chipchura
Nichol
Home
50.7% (1,143)
59.7% (576)
Away
49.9% (1,179)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Chipchura
Nichol
P1
51.1%
58.4%
P2
50.3%
57.3%
P3
48.9%
61.1%
OT
78.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
50.3%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |