Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Marleau wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marleau 48.4% vs Nichol 57.2% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 59.7%
Defensive zone
Marleau 65.1%
Neutral zone
Marleau 61.8%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Marleau
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Marleau
Nichol
Last 8: Marleau 3-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
0
Marleau
Nichol
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
4
Marleau
Nichol
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Marleau
Nichol
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marleau
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (91)
61.7% (183)
-14.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (45)
59.4% (32)
-12.7%
On power play, Marleau has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Marleau is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Marleau shoots left. Nichol is 67.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Marleau
Nichol
Home
48.6% (74)
69.6% (115)
Away
46.1% (76)
50.5% (103)
By Period
Marleau
Nichol
P1
34.7%
64.1%
P2
48.9%
52.7%
P3
53.2%
64.6%
OT
77.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.3%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:46 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |