Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Couturier 56.6% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 66.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 58.8%
Neutral zone
Shaw 57.4%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Shaw
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Shaw
Couturier
Last 6: Shaw 2-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Shaw
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Shaw
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
55.6% (1,008)
-9.8%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
71.7% (138)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
54.2% (177)
-12.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Couturier is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Shaw
Couturier
Home
50.0% (152)
59.8% (696)
Away
45.3% (232)
54.1% (627)
By Period
Shaw
Couturier
P1
44.8%
54.3%
P2
46.0%
59.8%
P3
50.4%
56.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |