Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.3%). Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Couturier 48.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 50.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 50.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Nielsen
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nielsen
Couturier
Last 7: Nielsen 5-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
0
Nielsen
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Nielsen
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
47.4% (1,052)
+2.1%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
54.7% (95)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
50.3% (183)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Nielsen is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Nielsen shoots left. Couturier is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Couturier
Home
51.2% (510)
48.3% (658)
Away
45.4% (540)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Nielsen
Couturier
P1
48.6%
50.1%
P2
47.4%
45.5%
P3
48.9%
49.9%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2014 | OT | 03:21 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2014 | OT | 01:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |