Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Roslovic wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 46.0% vs Couturier 53.2% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 50.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 54.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Roslovic
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Roslovic
Couturier
Last 8: Roslovic 4-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Roslovic
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
1
Roslovic
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Roslovic
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (106)
53.8% (1,003)
-9.5%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
56.4% (202)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
42.7% (89)
-28.4%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Roslovic is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Roslovic shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Couturier
Home
36.9% (65)
54.4% (680)
Away
49.2% (61)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Roslovic
Couturier
P1
32.1%
56.3%
P2
50.0%
51.8%
P3
46.2%
52.2%
OT
0.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
42.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 4, 2024 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 4, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |