Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 54.6% vs Couturier 48.7% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 71.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 63.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
McClement
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McClement
Couturier
Last 9: McClement 3-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
4
McClement
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
2
1
McClement
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (540)
48.9% (919)
+8.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
44.0% (84)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (131)
50.0% (102)
-4.2%
On power play, McClement has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McClement is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (445).
McClement shoots left. Couturier is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
McClement
Couturier
Home
56.0% (341)
51.4% (592)
Away
54.6% (337)
45.4% (513)
By Period
McClement
Couturier
P1
52.7%
49.2%
P2
55.7%
49.0%
P3
58.3%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
58.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |