Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.6%). Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.0% vs Couturier 48.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 54.4%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 74.8%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 65.1%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Mitchell
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Mitchell
Couturier
Last 7: Mitchell 5-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Mitchell
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
0
Mitchell
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (676)
48.9% (919)
+3.6%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
44.0% (84)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (155)
50.0% (102)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Mitchell is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Mitchell shoots left. Couturier is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Couturier
Home
52.2% (450)
51.4% (592)
Away
45.1% (399)
45.4% (513)
By Period
Mitchell
Couturier
P1
51.2%
49.2%
P2
50.2%
49.0%
P3
44.8%
47.3%
OT
80.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |