Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 51.8% vs Couturier 56.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 87.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 53.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 82.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Brodziak
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Brodziak
Couturier
Last 9: Brodziak 6-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
2
Brodziak
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
1
Brodziak
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
0
Brodziak
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (631)
55.6% (1,008)
-2.2%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
71.7% (138)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (121)
54.2% (177)
-7.9%
On power play, Couturier has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Brodziak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Brodziak shoots right. Couturier is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Couturier
Home
53.9% (410)
59.8% (696)
Away
49.9% (357)
54.1% (627)
By Period
Brodziak
Couturier
P1
53.2%
54.3%
P2
56.1%
59.8%
P3
46.9%
56.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |