Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Komarov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Komarov wins 38.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Komarov 45.5% vs Couturier 56.1% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 62.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 80.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 66.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Komarov
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Komarov
Couturier
Last 5: Komarov 3-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
3
0
Komarov
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Komarov
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Komarov
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (60)
55.6% (532)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
53.8% (106)
-53.8%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Komarov is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Komarov shoots left. Couturier is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Komarov
Couturier
Home
45.5% (33)
63.3% (357)
Away
32.4% (34)
51.1% (393)
By Period
Komarov
Couturier
P1
45.0%
57.0%
P2
37.0%
55.3%
P3
35.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
38.8%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |