Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 47.5% vs Couturier 56.1% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 55.5%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 78.7%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 66.9%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Jankowski
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Jankowski
Couturier
Last 6: Jankowski 1-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Jankowski
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Jankowski
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (251)
55.6% (532)
-6.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
66.1% (112)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (65)
53.8% (106)
-13.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Jankowski is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Jankowski shoots left. Couturier is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Couturier
Home
50.0% (172)
63.3% (357)
Away
43.0% (151)
51.1% (393)
By Period
Jankowski
Couturier
P1
42.5%
57.0%
P2
49.1%
55.3%
P3
48.5%
60.0%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
46.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |