Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 55.1%). Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Koivu wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.9% vs Couturier 54.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 58.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 55.0%
Neutral zone
Koivu 51.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Koivu
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Koivu
Couturier
Last 8: Koivu 3-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
1
Koivu
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Koivu
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,219)
55.5% (887)
-0.2%
Power Play
63.5% (200)
51.9% (79)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (280)
54.0% (100)
-5.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Koivu is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Koivu shoots left. Couturier is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (737).
Home / Away
Koivu
Couturier
Home
55.6% (846)
52.4% (521)
Away
54.9% (853)
57.6% (545)
By Period
Koivu
Couturier
P1
57.4%
53.4%
P2
55.5%
55.7%
P3
52.6%
56.6%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |