Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Koivu wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.1% vs Couturier 56.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 70.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 64.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 68.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Koivu
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Koivu
Couturier
Last 10: Koivu 2-8 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Koivu
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
7
Koivu
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
4
Koivu
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (672)
55.6% (1,008)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.5% (115)
71.7% (138)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (107)
54.2% (177)
-4.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Koivu is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Koivu shoots left. Couturier is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Koivu
Couturier
Home
56.6% (410)
59.8% (696)
Away
52.9% (484)
54.1% (627)
By Period
Koivu
Couturier
P1
51.7%
54.3%
P2
56.7%
59.8%
P3
55.3%
56.6%
OT
66.7%
64.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |