Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 37 meetings). Koivu wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.0% vs Couturier 52.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 44-30 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 55.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 57.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Koivu
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
44
(74 meetings)
30
44
Koivu
Couturier
Last 10: Koivu 2-8 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
10
5
Koivu
Couturier
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
7
15
Koivu
Couturier
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
13
24
Koivu
Couturier
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,465)
52.5% (11,063)
+1.5%
Power Play
58.6% (2,100)
59.7% (1,280)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (1,688)
48.5% (1,816)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Koivu shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Koivu
Couturier
Home
55.8% (6,577)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
52.3% (6,719)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Koivu
Couturier
P1
53.5%
52.5%
P2
54.6%
52.6%
P3
54.0%
52.9%
OT
56.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:12 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |