Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Couturier 52.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 26-9 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 88.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 73.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 74.7%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Foligno
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
26
(35 meetings)
9
26
Foligno
Couturier
Last 10: Foligno 1-9 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
11
Foligno
Couturier
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
6
Foligno
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
9
Foligno
Couturier
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
52.5% (11,063)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
59.7% (1,280)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
48.5% (1,816)
-4.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Foligno shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Foligno
Couturier
Home
49.9% (2,013)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Foligno
Couturier
P1
47.6%
52.5%
P2
50.4%
52.6%
P3
48.3%
52.9%
OT
29.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 23, 2024 | OT | 00:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |