Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.3%). Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 48.9% vs Couturier 48.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 63.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 77.0%
Neutral zone
Spaling 50.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Spaling
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Spaling
Couturier
Last 7: Spaling 3-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
0
Spaling
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Spaling
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Spaling
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (155)
47.4% (1,052)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
54.7% (95)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
50.3% (183)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Spaling is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Spaling shoots left. Couturier is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Spaling
Couturier
Home
47.2% (108)
48.3% (658)
Away
50.0% (66)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Spaling
Couturier
P1
43.6%
50.1%
P2
41.9%
45.5%
P3
59.3%
49.9%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 03:29 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 1 | 05:38 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |