Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.6% vs 43.9%). Look for Elias on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 46.0% vs Couturier 44.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 68.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 75.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Elias
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Elias
Couturier
Last 5: Elias 2-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
2
1
Elias
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Elias
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (100)
44.4% (448)
-4.4%
Power Play
53.1% (49)
57.7% (26)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
36.7% (79)
-1.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Elias is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Elias shoots left. Couturier is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Elias
Couturier
Home
46.2% (78)
42.2% (296)
Away
41.2% (85)
45.9% (257)
By Period
Elias
Couturier
P1
44.0%
44.0%
P2
50.0%
46.5%
P3
36.4%
41.4%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
43.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 15:04 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 22, 2013 | 1 | 01:07 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |