Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaustad wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 57.4% vs Couturier 47.9% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 84.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 58.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 72.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Gaustad
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gaustad
Couturier
Last 7: Gaustad 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Gaustad
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Gaustad
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
0
Gaustad
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (913)
48.5% (1,067)
+10.8%
Power Play
72.2% (18)
51.0% (51)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (269)
43.4% (235)
+9.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Gaustad shoots left. Couturier is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Couturier
Home
58.6% (604)
49.4% (620)
Away
57.4% (596)
46.4% (733)
By Period
Gaustad
Couturier
P1
61.5%
47.1%
P2
55.7%
50.4%
P3
56.6%
45.5%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | OT | 04:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 30, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |