Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Krebs wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krebs 45.5% vs Couturier 53.2% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 52.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 53.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Krebs
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Krebs
Couturier
Last 6: Krebs 3-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Krebs
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Krebs
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
0
Krebs
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krebs
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (388)
53.4% (758)
-8.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
62.9% (70)
-37.9%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
50.7% (227)
-5.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Krebs shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Krebs
Couturier
Home
46.8% (188)
50.7% (517)
Away
42.4% (224)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Krebs
Couturier
P1
47.2%
55.2%
P2
44.9%
53.0%
P3
41.1%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |