Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rakell wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 41.7% vs Couturier 53.2% (-17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 84.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 64.9%
Neutral zone
Rakell 70.8%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Rakell
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rakell
Couturier
Last 7: Rakell 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
0
Rakell
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
4
Rakell
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rakell
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (114)
53.4% (758)
-16.6%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
62.9% (70)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
50.7% (227)
-50.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Rakell is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Rakell shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Rakell
Couturier
Home
41.2% (68)
50.7% (517)
Away
31.6% (79)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Rakell
Couturier
P1
34.5%
55.2%
P2
38.5%
53.0%
P3
33.3%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | OT | 02:51 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |