Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sheahan wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 49.1% vs Couturier 58.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 58.6%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 88.3%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 69.4%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Sheahan
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sheahan
Couturier
Last 5: Sheahan 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Sheahan
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Sheahan
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
1
0
Sheahan
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (613)
60.1% (669)
-9.2%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
60.9% (133)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (201)
55.1% (107)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Sheahan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sheahan shoots left. Couturier is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Couturier
Home
51.1% (409)
59.9% (484)
Away
47.1% (425)
59.3% (425)
By Period
Sheahan
Couturier
P1
46.8%
61.8%
P2
54.6%
57.4%
P3
45.9%
59.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |