Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Couturier 47.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 54.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 62.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Carter
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Carter
Couturier
Last 6: Carter 2-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Carter
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Carter
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (390)
47.4% (639)
+2.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
54.2% (24)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (33)
44.0% (134)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Carter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Carter shoots left. Couturier is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Home / Away
Carter
Couturier
Home
51.5% (171)
46.9% (446)
Away
48.7% (261)
47.2% (358)
By Period
Carter
Couturier
P1
50.7%
42.5%
P2
48.4%
47.1%
P3
50.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |