Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gagner wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 48.0% vs Couturier 54.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 88.6%
Defensive zone
Couturier 56.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 68.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Gagner
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gagner
Couturier
Last 5: Gagner 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
0
Gagner
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Gagner
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Gagner
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (310)
55.5% (887)
-9.0%
Power Play
50.4% (115)
51.9% (79)
-1.5%
On even strength, Couturier has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Gagner shoots right. Couturier is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Gagner
Couturier
Home
52.4% (212)
52.4% (521)
Away
42.7% (213)
57.6% (545)
By Period
Gagner
Couturier
P1
46.2%
53.4%
P2
52.2%
55.7%
P3
43.6%
56.6%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |