Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kalinin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 48.7% vs Kalinin 43.6% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 63.4%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 50.2%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 52.4%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Couturier
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Couturier
Kalinin
Last 7: Couturier 3-4 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
1
2
Couturier
Kalinin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Kalinin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kalinin
1
2
Couturier
Kalinin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (919)
42.3% (298)
+6.6%
Power Play
44.0% (84)
29.4% (17)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Couturier is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Couturier shoots left. Kalinin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Couturier
Kalinin
Home
51.4% (592)
42.8% (173)
Away
45.4% (513)
40.3% (149)
By Period
Couturier
Kalinin
P1
49.2%
39.8%
P2
49.0%
44.1%
P3
47.3%
40.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.6%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |