Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 48.5% vs Horcoff 50.2% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 75.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 50.8%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 63.4%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Couturier
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Couturier
Horcoff
Last 10: Couturier 8-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Couturier
Horcoff
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
0
Couturier
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
0
Couturier
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,052)
50.5% (374)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.7% (95)
55.0% (60)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (183)
39.5% (38)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Couturier is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Couturier shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Couturier
Horcoff
Home
48.3% (658)
50.2% (263)
Away
48.4% (672)
50.2% (209)
By Period
Couturier
Horcoff
P1
50.1%
49.0%
P2
45.5%
53.2%
P3
49.9%
48.7%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |