Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Couturier wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 58.7% vs Oshie 50.0% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 69.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 96.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 90.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 92.0%
92.0%
8.0%
Couturier
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Couturier
Oshie
Last 6: Couturier 5-1 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Couturier
Oshie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
0
Couturier
Oshie
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (669)
51.7% (58)
+8.4%
Power Play
60.9% (133)
49.1% (169)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (107)
54.5% (11)
+0.6%
On power play, Couturier has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Couturier is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Couturier shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Couturier
Oshie
Home
59.9% (484)
51.3% (113)
Away
59.3% (425)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Couturier
Oshie
P1
61.8%
53.8%
P2
57.4%
47.5%
P3
59.5%
51.2%
OT
68.8%
28.6%
Final 5 min
58.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
59.6%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 8, 2020 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |