Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Sestito 46.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 66.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 74.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 64.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Couturier
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Couturier
Sestito
Last 5: Couturier 3-2 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Sestito
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
1
Couturier
Sestito
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
1
Couturier
Sestito
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (11,063)
45.7% (457)
+6.8%
Power Play
59.7% (1,280)
55.6% (9)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,816)
34.2% (38)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Couturier shoots left. Sestito is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Couturier
Sestito
Home
53.4% (7,147)
48.0% (273)
Away
51.8% (7,019)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Couturier
Sestito
P1
52.5%
42.5%
P2
52.6%
42.1%
P3
52.9%
52.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |