Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Couturier wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 56.1% vs Zajac 51.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 69.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 50.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 53.4%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Couturier
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Couturier
Zajac
Last 10: Couturier 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
1
Couturier
Zajac
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Couturier
Zajac
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couturier
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (532)
53.5% (480)
+2.1%
Power Play
66.1% (112)
48.4% (62)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (106)
37.7% (61)
+16.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Couturier is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Couturier shoots left. Zajac is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Couturier
Zajac
Home
63.3% (357)
51.7% (352)
Away
51.1% (393)
51.0% (251)
By Period
Couturier
Zajac
P1
57.0%
45.0%
P2
55.3%
61.5%
P3
60.0%
46.0%
OT
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
62.4%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |