Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Smith 50.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 59.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 62.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 61.3%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Couturier
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Couturier
Smith
Last 10: Couturier 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
4
Couturier
Smith
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
4
Couturier
Smith
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
4
8
Couturier
Smith
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (11,063)
51.6% (5,265)
+0.9%
Power Play
59.7% (1,280)
51.2% (342)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,816)
45.3% (985)
+3.2%
On power play, Couturier has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Couturier shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Couturier
Smith
Home
53.4% (7,147)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.8% (7,019)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Couturier
Smith
P1
52.5%
49.9%
P2
52.6%
50.0%
P3
52.9%
51.9%
OT
49.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 14:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |