Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Couturier wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 56.6% vs Smith 49.2% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 64.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 72.0%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Couturier
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Couturier
Smith
Last 6: Couturier 2-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Couturier
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Couturier
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,008)
50.9% (666)
+4.7%
Power Play
71.7% (138)
70.0% (10)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (177)
39.6% (144)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Couturier is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Couturier shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Couturier
Smith
Home
59.8% (696)
50.9% (405)
Away
54.1% (627)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Couturier
Smith
P1
54.3%
47.1%
P2
59.8%
49.6%
P3
56.6%
50.4%
OT
64.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
57.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |